Tuesday, May 12, 2015

Forecast accuracy check: Instead of large earthquake in PH, a volcano erupted

I posted here on May 2nd Dutchinse's forecast for an earth movement in the Philippines which expired on March 8th. He has today done an accuracy check, excerpts of which are as follows:

The  previous full forecast was issued on May 1st , which expired on May 8th.  Almost every single area was hit in the exact area warned within the timeframe named.  Other areas named to be SILENT remained silent as expected.
 
The only area which did NOT see the ‘larger’ expected movement was Southern California. Instead we saw near a dozen dormant volcanoes show movement throughout California, and several plume events take place (reported by viewers this time, not caught by me personally).

This dormant volcanic movement, and plume activity is not a forecast hit for me though.. even though all those dormant volcanoes moved, even though LA got hit with a 3.9 + 3.8M earthquake at the fracking operation like we were expected (and was forecast to occur).. I was additionally watching for a near 5.0M to hit between LA and Salton Sea….. thus it is a “miss” on the larger event… instead we saw two different near 4.0M earthquakes and dormant volcanoes move up the coast.

The other internationally named areas across Asia, Central America, the Mideast, and Europe all showed the expected movement in the areas warned.

Mt. Bulusan (Sorsogon) eruption

Some areas received multiple volcanic eruptions instead of large earthquakes — this is something I will need to factor into future forecasts — eruption zones which could also come into play.

We were expecting a large earthquake in the Philippines to Indonesia area.. instead we saw THREE eruptions in one week in the same location — thus the earthquake stress that was expected to show instead showed up as actual large unexpected eruptions.
 
Asia:

Eruption in Philippines at Mount Bulusan , and eruption at Mount Sinabung + Mount Karangetang in Indonesia… forecast called for a large earthquake to strike in the 6.0 – 7.0M range.

Earthquake near Vietnam in West Indonesia .. 5.9M … forecast called for a 6.0M to strike near Vietnam into Indonesia.

South Japan 800 year dormant volcano coming to life, and 5.7 – 5.9M earthquake with swarm struck… also ELEVEN eruptions in one days time in South Japan at Sakurajima — forecast called for a 6.0M to strike.

Multiple 7.0M+ earthquakes struck Papua New Guinea… forecast called for a 7.0M+ to strike Papua New Guinea. - Read more on Dutchsinse

Susong Dalaga Hill

Susong Dalaga Hill
Susong Dalaga Hill from Bagtasan isthmus

Date and Time

Blog Archive

Total Pageviews

Popular Posts

Blog Log

Followers

Networked Blogs

Space Weather

Space Weather
What's up in space

Categories

ACCOMMODATION Adeline Angeles ADVENTURE SERIES ALAIN MADRIGAL ALLAN VELASCO AMOINGON ARAW NG MARINDUQUE ARCHAEOLOGY Argao AWARENESS BAGTINGON Bahaghari BANTAY-KASO Barrick Gold BATTLE OF MASAGUISI BATTLE OF MORIONS BATTLE OF PAYE BATTLE OF PULANG LUPA BELLAROCCA ISLAND Bishop Marcelino Antonio Maralit Jr Bishop Reynaldo Evangelista BOAC BOAC CATHEDRAL BUENAVISTA BULONG Bunganay BUTTERFLY CAPITOL BUILDING CAPITOL CHOIR Cardinal Ricardo Vidal CARMENCITA REYES CAWIT PORT CBCP CEMETERIO DE TAMPUS CENSORSHIP CHANGE CINEMALAYA CLIMATE CHANGE COA Report COLONIAL HOUSES Conflict CONG. LORD ALLAN VELASCO CORRUPTION CORY AQUINO Curt Shepard DISASTER DONA PAZ DPWH DR. ANTONIO UY DTI DUTERTE EARTHQUAKE ECO-TOURISM EDSA Elections 2010 Elections 2013 Elections 2016 ELI OBLIGACION ENVIRONMENT EVENTS EXTREME MARINDUQUE FEATURED SITES GASAN GASANG-GASANG FESTIVAL GASPAR ISLAND GOV. BONG CARRION Guisian HEALTH HERMENEGILDO FLORES Hinanggayon HINULUGAN FALLS HOBIE HOLY WEEK JOSE F. ALVAREZ JOSEPH EMIL BIGGEL Joseph Laban JR LABRADOR Kalesayahan KALUTANG KURAY LAYLAY LETTER TO GOVERNOR LONGHINO Lorna-Quinto Velasco LUBANG FAULT LUZON DATUM OF 1911 Mabusay Falls MACEC MALINDIG Maniwaya Marcopper MARELCO MARINDUQUE AIRPORT MARINDUQUE AKIN KA MARINDUQUE CULTURE MARINDUQUE ELECTIONS 2013 MARINDUQUE FIRST SATURDAY MOVERS MARINDUQUE HISTORY MARINDUQUE HISTORY CONFERENCE MARINDUQUE INFRA PROJECTS Marinduque Politics MARINDUQUE STATE COLLEGE MARINDUQUE TOURISM MARINDUQUE VIDEO MARTIN LARDIZABAL MAXIMO ABAD MIMAROPA MOGPOG MORIONES 2009 MORIONES FESTIVAL Moriones Festival '10 Moriones Festival '12 MORIONES FESTIVAL 08 MORIONES FESTIVAL 09 MORYONAN MSC SAMBAYANG SINING LAHI MUTYA NG MARINDUQUE Myke Magalang NCCA NORWEGIAN MISSION ALLIANCE PASTORES PASYONDULA PASSION PLAY Paye PEOPLE PERCIVAL MORALES PH HISTORY PHILIPPINE ARTS FESTIVAL Places PNP Poctoy Beach Pope Francis Pork Barrel POWER OUTAGE Pres. Benigno S. Aquino PRESIDENT DUTERTE PRRM PUTONG RAMON MADRIGAL Raymond Go ROBERTO MADLA Romulo Bacorro Russel Madrigal SAKAMAR SAN ISIDRO CAVE Sangguniang Panlalawigan Sawi Sayao Bay SCUBA DIVING SEA TRAVEL SCHEDULES SEAIR SENEN LIVELO Silangan South China Sea SPACE STA. CRUZ STATE OF THE PROVINCE ADDRESS STTC ASSEMBLY Susong Dalaga Hill TARUG CAVE TEATRO BALANGAW TEOFILO N. ROQUE TON MONTEAGUDO TORRIJOS TOTO NEPOMUCENO Treasure Hunt TRES REYES ISLANDS TRIVIA Tumagabok Falls TYPHOON "FRANK" TYPHOON "ONDOY" Typhoon NinaPH VERDE ISLAND PASSAGE Vicky Lao-Lim VIVA MARINDUQUE 2008 VIVA MARINDUQUE 2009 VIVA MARINDUQUE REPORT WALANG SUGAT WEEKLY MARINDUQUE WEN VELASCO WORLD WW2 WW3 YESHUA YOOK

Quick news, photos, videos, culture, tourism, history and all that there is on the island of Marinduque, Philippines. "VIVA MARINDUQUE!" www.marinduquegov.blogspot.com

Marinduque Rising | www.marinduquegov.blogspot.com | (c) 2007. Powered by Blogger.