Tuesday, May 12, 2015

Forecast accuracy check: Instead of large earthquake in PH, a volcano erupted

I posted here on May 2nd Dutchinse's forecast for an earth movement in the Philippines which expired on March 8th. He has today done an accuracy check, excerpts of which are as follows:

The  previous full forecast was issued on May 1st , which expired on May 8th.  Almost every single area was hit in the exact area warned within the timeframe named.  Other areas named to be SILENT remained silent as expected.
 
The only area which did NOT see the ‘larger’ expected movement was Southern California. Instead we saw near a dozen dormant volcanoes show movement throughout California, and several plume events take place (reported by viewers this time, not caught by me personally).

This dormant volcanic movement, and plume activity is not a forecast hit for me though.. even though all those dormant volcanoes moved, even though LA got hit with a 3.9 + 3.8M earthquake at the fracking operation like we were expected (and was forecast to occur).. I was additionally watching for a near 5.0M to hit between LA and Salton Sea….. thus it is a “miss” on the larger event… instead we saw two different near 4.0M earthquakes and dormant volcanoes move up the coast.

The other internationally named areas across Asia, Central America, the Mideast, and Europe all showed the expected movement in the areas warned.

Mt. Bulusan (Sorsogon) eruption

Some areas received multiple volcanic eruptions instead of large earthquakes — this is something I will need to factor into future forecasts — eruption zones which could also come into play.

We were expecting a large earthquake in the Philippines to Indonesia area.. instead we saw THREE eruptions in one week in the same location — thus the earthquake stress that was expected to show instead showed up as actual large unexpected eruptions.
 
Asia:

Eruption in Philippines at Mount Bulusan , and eruption at Mount Sinabung + Mount Karangetang in Indonesia… forecast called for a large earthquake to strike in the 6.0 – 7.0M range.

Earthquake near Vietnam in West Indonesia .. 5.9M … forecast called for a 6.0M to strike near Vietnam into Indonesia.

South Japan 800 year dormant volcano coming to life, and 5.7 – 5.9M earthquake with swarm struck… also ELEVEN eruptions in one days time in South Japan at Sakurajima — forecast called for a 6.0M to strike.

Multiple 7.0M+ earthquakes struck Papua New Guinea… forecast called for a 7.0M+ to strike Papua New Guinea. - Read more on Dutchsinse